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Pakistan Air Force J-10 fighter jets fly past during the national day parade in Islamabad on March 23, 2025. —AFP
#Price #fourweek #PakistanIndia #conflict #pegged #500bn
The ongoing dispute between India and Pakistan has already imposed a significant economic burden on both countries. On the military front, three basic components of the cost stand: airstrikes, wide deployment of drones and high levels of combat manufacture.
Assuming that the Indian Air Force (IAF) uses about 100 stories Rafael, Marriage 2000, SU30MKI, and Tejas aircraft every day, estimated fuel and operational costs per suitry, 000 80,000. If precision guidance weapons (PGM) such as skull EG, Spice 2000, hammer, and laser guided bombs (LGBS) are employed at a rate of 30 to 40 to 40 weapons daily-the cost of the arms is from $ 100,000 to $ 1.1 million. Over a four -week period, the total cost of stable air strikes can reach about $ 6 billion.
For India, the daily deployment of about 30 unmanned aerial systems – including Harp and IAI lootering weapons, as well as heroone and searching drones – ISR operations, logistics, and electronic warfare (EW) assets, with considerable costs. Factory in UAV instability and replacement, satellite bandout, ground control stations (GCS), and gymnasium capabilities, estimates can reach 100 million millions every day.
For India, the daily use of 10 Brahmos missiles was launched from the ground or sea-as well as 10 to 20 pali ballistic missiles or precision MLR, resulting in an estimate of 150 million daily million. Within a four -week period, it will be about $ 4.5 billion.
In the ‘high preparation’ category, daily costs are sufficient. The troup mobilization and fuel consumption are estimated at 40 million millions every day. Maintaining the air defense systems-including S-400, Akash, and Bark-8-8-Day increase by $ 20 million.
The preparation of the fleet for both the Eastern and Western naval commands contributes to an additional million of 50 million daily. Jointly, these preparation costs are about $ 5.4 billion over a four -week period.
For the Pakistan Air Force (PAF), the joint cost of air strikes and sustainable combat air patrols is estimated to be more than $ 25 million daily-it is about $ 1 billion over a four-week period. Drone operations will cost $ 450 million at the cost of deployment of Turkish bikor system as well as the use of missiles such as Rod and Hetf-VI.
For Pakistan, preparation and border alert-trop movement, fuel consumption, radar activation, surface air missiles (SAM) deployment, and intelligence and signal intelligence (segant) assets, costs about $ 450 million over a four-week period.
For India, in addition to direct military spending, the wider economic result includes four major cost categories. First, the GDP disruption is estimated at $ 150 billion. Second, fluctuations in the financial market and currency department can result in a loss of $ 90 billion. Third, trade barriers and supply chain malfunction will result in a loss of about $ 80 billion. The fourth, direct foreign direct investment (FDI) arrival will decrease by about $ 100 billion.
For Pakistan, the indirect economic impact of the conflict will also be sufficient. The GDP interruption – an estimated $ 25 billion is estimated to be interrupted – stopped economic activity and overall economic uncertainty.
Instability in the financial market and currency department, $ 15 billion. Trade and supply chain disruption is about $ 12 billion. In addition, the arrival of the FDI and the loss of $ 5 billion related to the IMF. Together, for both Pakistan and India, the total cost of the conflict over a four -week period is likely to exceed $ 500 billion.
The author is a columnist based in Islamabad.
