
People walk around the Financial District near the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York, US, December 29, 2023. —Reuters
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New York: According to analysts and recruits, if economic uncertainty continues to weigh the economic uncertainty in the next months, US investment banks are ready to reduce more jobs.
US President Donald Trump’s threats to impose tariffs on trade partners have surrounded the markets, weighed on the activity of capital markets, and the risk of economic slowdown has increased. The uproar has raised some expectations of Wall Street that will select the deals this year under a business friendly administration.
Wall Street banks, including JP Morgan and Bank of America, have already begun an annual year targeting low -performing employees, while Goldman Sex and Morgan Stanley are planning to leave the staff in the coming weeks.
If deals are not recovered in the coming months, other major banks and boutiques will be forced to re -evaluate their work, analysts and recruits are warned. “It is expected that the investment banking has been delayed, not dead, not dead,” said Wells Fargo’s banking analyst Mike Mayo. “But if we are discussing this in the middle of the summer, it can be a different story.
Payment adviser Johnson Associates Principal Chris Coners said the big bank is faster in reducing the head coot, while the boutique can follow later. “If the pipeline does not come into force, they will take steps to lower the level of the staff,” he said.
Initial data from the Delivek shows that the global investment banking fee fell 6.3 percent to $ 16.83 billion from January 1 to March 13, compared to $ 17.96 billion a year ago. The bedside is even faster than the fourth quarter, when the fees reached $ 19.96 billion with the return of Dell McCing. US Equity offers have also shown slowdown this year, with the release of $ 57 billion by March 19, which is sliping by about $ 69 billion during the same period last year.
An uncertain point
Bankers said that the uncertain economic approach has weighed over the confidence of executives that after the initial public offer, their companies’ stocks can perform in key circles.
Bonuses in Wall Street banks increased last year when activity decreased, but they could pose a threat to 2025, analysts said. Reuters reported in January, for example, Bank of America’s bonus pool increased by 10 % in 2024. The CEO of the bank was also awarded the salary collision when Dell McKing began to return.
According to the filing, David Suleiman, CEO of Goldman Sex, increased by 26 % for last year to $ 39 million. Bank stocks have been punished as the darkness of the view is dark. Small investment banks shares are the most slippery, while megan bank stocks have been more flexible as lenders benefit from more diverse revenue in trade, consumers and wealth business.
Evercor shares have declined by about 22 % in history since year and this year Jeffrez has been 21 % so far, while JP Morgan has increased by 3.5 % and a 1.3 % increase for Goldman Sex.
Bank of America, Morgan Stanley and JP Morgan refused to comment. Goldman Sex said he does not comment on the details in any year, but reiterated that the recent deduction is “part of its routine, annual talent management process”.
Jeffrez declined to comment, while Evercore did not respond to Writers’ request for comment. The recruits said that after the departure and recruitment flare, banks will review their staff, who usually follow the annual bonus payments.
“What is our current pipeline, if we want to develop, how do we need to staff, or we are going to become a bit lean thin this year,” said Brian Sterling, head of the Banking Banking Firm in Recruitment Genning.
He said that areas like private credit and technology still have development pockets. But the user, industrial, and building and construction sectors face potential slowdown. The US Brokerage Open Hameer warned Wednesday that US investment banking revenue is not expected this year this year because of the uncertainty generated by revenue. Earlier, it was estimated that the revenue would jump 32 %.
“All investment are the budget goals of the banks,” said McCary Cox, a portfolio manager of Gabeli Funds. “To the extent that revenue will be less than expected, it will have implications to overcome the cost, whether it be through a low head coise or overall compensation.” rewatters