Pakistan faces higher risks than neighbours amid Iran-Israel tensions

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LAHORE: Iran is facing more complicated threats from the possible war of Israel than India or Bangladesh, due to its geographic location, economic degradation, sectarian makeup and dependence on the Gulf economies.

Unlike India and Bangladesh, Pakistan shares 900 km away with Iran. Any increase – whether it can directly affect border security in Balochistan and pressure the country’s predetermined law enforcement agencies.

Pakistan’s main Sunni and Shiite population is further increasing its exhibition. Any Iranian conflict – whether with Israel, the Gulf, or the United States – the threat of sectarian violence, protests, or mobilizing proxy activity on Pakistani soil. Iran -backed or affected elements, especially in urban centers and Balochistan, may be active.

The country’s dependence on remittances, jobs and financial aid to the Gulf states such as the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia and Qatar increases another layer of danger. A broader regional dispute can disrupt the arrival – which is important to Pakistan’s current account – and endangered energy imports. While India and Bangladesh also rely on the Gulf, Pakistan’s historical, ideological and military relations face political or diplomatic conclusions.

Increasing these risks is Pakistan’s uncertain economic status. After the temporary stability period, the country is facing the mandate reforms of the IMF and the re -inflation. Fuel prices are rising, and food inflation is under severe pressure. A long conflict that leads to global oil prices or disrupts trade routes, India’s more diverse economy or Bangladesh’s relatively stable currency and reserves will make Pakistan more difficult.

Pakistan has also historically served as a theater for proxy disputes. New enemies in the region can once again be exploited by its area for intelligence and counter -war activities. On the contrary, India and Bangladesh maintain strict internal security control.

Although the three countries, especially the oil markets, will suffer from economic splendor, Pakistan’s threats extend beyond Mali-internal unrest and cross-border fluctuations. So its exposure is deep and more multi -dimensional.

Managing such complex risk landscapes would be a tremendous challenge. Pakistan has to strengthen national security and strengthen border management-especially with Iran Pakistan Frontier. Additional Frontier Corps and intelligence personnel should be deployed in Balochistan to prevent proxy infiltration, smuggling, and weapons or drug trafficking. Drone surveillance and fencing should be extended wherever possible.

The government will also have to prepare the preparation for the absorption of economic trauma. Target subsidy or fuel hejing mechanisms should be considered globally oil prices, especially transport and agriculture. Policy makers should accelerate changes to compressed natural gas (CNG) and renewable sources to reduce the dependence on imported fuel.

Food and fuel strategic reserves should be developed in expected to supply barriers. Pakistan should include the IMF and friendly governments to negotiate for emergency financing, including temporary relaxation in the financial goals if inflation or import bills deteriorate.

Locally, intelligence efforts should be increased to monitor sectarian organizations, foreign -financing networks and sleeper cells. Diplomatic harmony with Iran and the Gulf states is essential to counter cross -border threats.

The state will have to increase financial surveillance (including compliance with the FATF) to detect suspicious transfer and track seminars or organizations receiving external funds from Iranian or Gulf sources.

Pakistan should visit the crisis with neutrality, harmony and financial tactics. It cannot afford to be attracted to regional enmity or ideological unions. The purpose of this purpose should be to overcome Splore at this time by silently standing as a stable actor in a tumultuous region. At a time when world powers quickly seek mediators rather than military allies.