
Pakistan Air Force J-10 fighter jets fly past during the national day parade in Islamabad on March 23, 2025. —AFP
#war #deescalated
The Indo-Pak armed conflict was the rise of May 7-10, when both nuclear armed neighbors wreaked havoc on the eyes of the eyeball and were afraid to call the world the shortest war in South Asia. For the first time since December 1971 1971 1971 1971 1971 1971 1971 1971, the use of Air Force, Missiles and drones by the two countries made a date when it was shown on May 8-9 that their armed conflict could increase and change as a complete war.
This is not the first time that the Indo-Pak conflict was calling the threat of a out-of-war in South Asia ineffective. In the winter of 1986-87, when the Indian Army launched a tension on the Indo-Pak borders due to the ‘Operation Breasury Tax’ launched by the Indian Army on the Rajasthan border with Pakistan, the threat of war was avoided when the then President General Zia-Hakim had visited the Divine Diplomacy in early 1987. In 1987, Pakistan was not announced by the nuclear state, but was allegedly near the newborn weapons of nuclear weapons, which President Zia threatened to take down India. Rajiv Gandhi received this message and the operation brass was banned.
In addition, in 1990, when the Kashmir uprising increased tensions between India and Pakistan, the United States received from its intelligence sources that Pakistan was activating its nuclear weapons to counter any attack from New Delhi. It frightened Washington, which led to a mission led by CIA Director Robert Gates, headed by Islamabad and New Delhi, to eliminate the threat of war. In other examples of borders and war threats, as well as in other examples of dessifying Indo -Pak tension: The attack on the Indian Parliament was December 2001, which led to one million forces from the two countries for one year to mobilize an eye -ball. The reason for this is that the pressure from the United States and other Western powers has faced that India has agreed to end its military tension by ordering its forces to withdraw from the border, followed by Pakistan. The Western powers had threatened the then Prime Minister Atal Vihari Vajpayee’s government to end tensions with Pakistan or withdraw from India’s investment. The Kargil war of May-1999 was subjected to US mediation when the then Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif visited Washington on July 4, which indicated US President Bill Clinton using his good offices with Indian Prime Minister Wage Pai.
The November 2008 Mumbai terrorist attacks, the 2016 and 2019 URI and Paloma attacks, respectively, also increased the tension in the Line of Control. But in April 2025, the terrorist attack in Indian -administered Kashmir was extraordinary because it used widespread air force, missiles and drones against India and Pakistan for the first time. A review of the increase of Indian-Pak conflict and de-scolutions proves how the nuclear factor was helpful in this regard. Pakistan adheres to the minimum nuclear barrier policy and does not accept the first use option in the event of an increase in armed conflict with India. Knowing that Pakistan has made it clear that crossing the Red Line by India will force Islamabad to take all necessary steps to protect its sovereignty and territorial integrity, the United States and other powers have tried to spread the situation.
How long will the world play a role in ending the armed conflict between India and Pakistan and the extent to which the current ceasefire will remain. The manner in which India came under pressure to agree for a ceasefire with Pakistan is a major embarrassment for New Delhi. In New Delhi, when he launched ‘Operation Sandor’, it was extremely tough and aggressive, but when it was benefited from reaching the Seas fire agreement with Pakistan, his pride, strength and self -esteem lost his confidence. But, those who are happy with their victory over India should understand the fact that Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is like a ‘wounded lion’ who will not lose any opportunity to avenge the humiliation of his country at the hands of Pakistan.
The renovation of armed conflicts between India and Pakistan on May 7-10 will have to be examined by three angles. First of all, how the crisis management was used by world powers, especially the unmanaged states, Russia and Saudi Arabia, how to win every war to overcome the two nuclear armed countries. Communication between India and Pakistan National Security Advisors needs to be maintained to end the armed dispute and agree to ceasefire, as the two countries have long been the hotline between the Director General Military Operations (DGMOs), including the hotline.
During the 1980s and 1990s, India and Pakistan had a method of crisis management and building confidence, which was weakened in the second half of 2000. Steps such as cancellation of Articles 370 and 35-A by absorbing Jammu and Kashmir in the Indian Union. The suspension of Sindh’s water agreement and trying to make Balochistan province of Pakistan unsafe reduced the procedure for security and confidence building between the two countries. At present, Indo -Pak Tess is the lowest EBB due to a decline in diplomatic relations. Road, rail and airlines suspension, ban on their air space for each other and trade suspension. Second, after losing Pakistan in the armed conflict on May 7-10, Indian strategic Hawks are looking for opportunities that can restore their pride. Pakistan should be careful for this matter. Keep his eyes and air open and the Modi government should not give any opportunity to start any other adventures.
Still, Hawkes in Delhi believe they can avenge their humiliation
Weakening Pakistan from the inside. The Indian Ocean, Chenab and Jhelum rivers, deprive Pakistan of water, as ensured under the Indus Water Treaty (IWT), India believes that it can die of hunger to its western neighbor. The time has come for Pakistan to contact the World Bank, the UN Security Council and the International Court of Justice to complain against India that suspending IWT is a serious violation of international law. India is also trying to destabilize Balochistan through the secret support of the Baloch Liberation Army (BLA) and the announcement of the so -called independent state Balochistan.
Finally, if Pakistan is economically and politically stable, which follows good governance and rule of law, it can successfully counter any external and internal threats. Pakistan should effectively maintain any future Indian adventures and maintain its edge on India.
Author of International Relations Professor and former Dean Faculty of Social Sciences, the University of Karachi. It can be reached: amoonis@hotmail.com).