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A foreign currency dealer counts US dollars at a shop in Karachi, Pakistan, May 19, 2022. — AFP/File
#Cost #conflict #650m #250m
A complete scale between Pakistan and India equipped with nuclear weapons will result in three wide variety of economic spending: direct military spending, widespread economic obstacles and long -term rehabilitation burden. Only direct military costs can be broken into five key drivers of cost: Trope Mobilization, with the Air Force, naval operations, naval operations, weapons and artillery, and logistics and reuse.
India maintains 1.4 million active military personnel. The cost of mobilizing personnel comes in three important types: salaries, logistics and combat allowances. If India’s half -active force – about 700,000 troops are deployed, daily wages cost $ 35 million, with $ 20 million extra for food and fuel. Another 500,000 reserve and stimulating paramilitary forces will increase about $ 15 million daily, which will cost about $ 70 million daily.
India’s air operations, assuming that the deployment of 500 aircraft conducts two stories every day, at a cost of 000 50,000, which will be about $ 50 million in daily operational costs. The use of 10 to 15 launches that uses precision guidance weapons will increase you from $ 20 million to $ 30 million daily (Brahmos missiles estimates 3 million millions each).
India will cost $ 20 million daily for about $ 20,000, working on 1,000 armored units, with ammunition increasing 10,000 rounds (155 mm ammunition at 155 mm of shells each).
India’s naval operations, including aircraft carriers, fuel, care and missiles use about $ 30 million daily (Million 2 million in each Barak -8). Fuel fuel will be needed at $ 1 million per liter daily at $ 10 million. Additional supply chains, medical evacuation and other base operations will increase by about $ 50 million.
Cyber operations and satellite -based war estimates cost around $ 10 million per day, covering special personnel, software infrastructure and hardware system costs. In addition, the damage to the forward bases, the loss of high -cost assets such as aircraft (Million of 100 million in each), and the daily changes and medical care costs from the death toll can raise from 30 million to $ 80 million.
Total estimates: 50 650 million daily (based on India’s defense budget, India’s peace daily costs $ 205 million). The cost of mobilizing Pakistani personnel, assuming that 50 % of the 650,000 active personnel are deployed, is estimated at $ 10 million and $ 15 million. Million daily increases by 5 million to mobilize 200,000 reserves.
Pakistan’s aerial operations – assuming that the deployment of 400 aircraft daily – is estimated at $ 20 million daily. The weapon will increase by 5 million. The cost of ground operations and artillery, each, supplies 500 units at 000 20,000, means 10 million daily millions. Add Million 5 million in one day for ammunition. Naval Operations -054 Forts at a cost of about $ 10 million a day for fuel and missiles.
Pakistan’s fuel and supply chains are estimated that it will cost 5 million in a day, which increases $ 10 million under combat tensions. Million daily for medical evacuation and base operations increases by 15 million. Cyber and intelligence operations about $ 5 million a day. Tactical missile tests at about $ 10 million intermittent. Higher value assets such as aircraft, JF-17 loss to each million to 25 million. Million increases by 20 million a day for infrastructure loss.
Total estimates: every day million 250 million. To ensure, direct military spending, economic results – from trade barriers and supply chain malfunction to foreign investment, bad infrastructure, inflation and financial market accidents – will deepen the disaster for both countries.
The author is a columnist based in Islamabad.
