KSE-100 ends week strong; outlook remains positive on robust economic indicators

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KARACHI: The Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) retained its speed during the outgoing week, in which the Benchmark’s SE -100 index increased by 2,462 points (+2.1 % Wow) to close at a height of 117,316. Positive economic indicators, together with the hope of investors and continued to buy institutional purchases, played a key role in expanding the rally. Analysts expect the market to remain cheerful in the upcoming sessions, with strong corporate income and progress on critical economic reforms.

“It is expected that the market will maintain its positive pace next week, with the help of investors’ good feelings and strong economic indicators,” Brokeninghouse Arif Habib Limited added. It added that the result of the result season is likely to run on the board, especially in the fields where companies are likely to post strong revenue.

The rally was driven by numerous tail winds, with the announcement of a record $ 1.2 billion current account surplus in March 2025. The surplus has identified the most monthly surplus for the country and indicates a significant improvement in the external account. Meanwhile, progress in solving the circular debt of the long -standing power sector has further promoted confidence. The rescue package of Rs 1.275 trillion was finalized by leading banks to strengthen the power sector, increasing expectations for wider structural reforms.

Despite strong market demonstrations, trade volume saw a decline. The average volume of daily volume has decreased by 18 % to 456 million shares, while the average daily trade price has increased by 5.0 % to $ 116 million.

Unlike net purchases of $ 9.92 million last week, foreign investors offloaded shares worth 4.01 million to net salesmen during the week. Foreign sales were concentrated in different sectors (7.7 million) and banks ($ 1.4 million). On the other hand, local participants stepped firmly, banks bought $ 69 million worth of equity and individual investors participated in a net purchase of $ 21.9 million.

According to the sector, the banking sector was the top performer, which contributed 1,736 points in the index, followed by cement (566 points), automobiles (184 points), power (152 points), and technology (53 points) (53 points). The key individual stock actors included the United Bank Limited (UBL), which only added 1,537 points in the index, as well as luck (429 points), Hub C (160 points), NBP (149 points) and component (121 points). However, some sectors weighed on the index. The fertilizer reservoir dragged the index by 288 points, followed by research and production (172 points), miscellaneous (13 points), engineering (13 points), and cable and power equipment (8 points). Individual Legards included FFC (-316 points), Marie (-231 points), HBL (-65 points), Fatima (-22 points) and EPCL (-21 points).

Topline securities analyst Nabil Aaron described the recovery of the market as a series of positive stability in the global markets and positive news on the economic front. He said, “The KSE -100 Index gained 2.14 percent thanks to the remittance of $ 4.06 billion record -breaking workers in March 2025, which has been upgraded by Fitch to ‘CC+’ from ‘B -‘, and the current $ 1.2 billion current account.

JS Global analyst Abdul Basit echoed positive emotions. He highlighted that the weekly economic progress has been witnessed. In the current account, an additional amount of $ 1.2 billion was due to a record high remittances of $ 4.1 billion, which is 37 %, which indicates a strong vote of confidence in the Pakistani community abroad.

Outlook of the revised reserves in the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) created more candidates. The central bank now expects reserves to reach $ 14 billion at the end of the financial year, which is more than 13 billion from the previous target. Increasing the positive developments, Kuwait extended his oil credit facility to Pakistan for another two years, and offered relief relief in energy financing.

In the financial side, the government increased the petroleum levy by 8.02/liter on petrol and 7.01/liter liter on diesel, which aligns its infrastructure expenses while reducing international oil prices. The SBP also successfully deposited Rs 965 billion in the recent T-Bill auction-which is more than Rs 850 billion-which is widely stable. SBP’s foreign exchange reserves increased by $ 127 million, reinforcing the country’s better economic stability.

With numerous macroeconomic indicators on the horizon, PSX is ready to maintain its top speed in a nearby period, with polishing green and strong corporate income. Investors will probably be engaged as explanation around the possibility of structural reforms, financial management and specific growth of sectors improves.